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Elderly over 65 years in Norway - fact sheet

The proportion of elderly in the population is increasing. Up until 2020, the proportion of 65-74-year olds will increase. After that, the proportion over 75 years will rise. The size of the different age groups in the population is important for planning future health services.

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The need for medical help increases particularly after 80 years of age. In 2014, approximately 221 000 people, or 4.3 per cent of the population, are 80 years or older. In total, 812 000 people, or 16 per cent of inhabitants, are 65 years and older.

More elderly in the population

Statistics Norway has made national population projections up until 2100. By 2100, the number of people over 65 years will be around twice as high as today. The proportion 80 years and older will increase from 4.3 to 11.7 per cent and from 221 000 to 904 000 people. These figures come from Statistics Norway’s main alternative for projections, medium national growth. Four factors go into the projections: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration and net immigration.

Read more about population projections at Statistics Norway:

In Norhealth’s statistics bank you will find annual projections at national, health region and county level up until 2040. In the years ahead, the number of 65-74-year olds will increase before flattening out around 2020. After that, the number of 75-79-year olds will increase until around 2025, when the number of 80 year olds and older will begin to rise, see figure 1.

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Figure 1. Population projections 2016-2040. Based on medium national growth. Whole country. Source: Statistics Norway

Countywise differences

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Figure 2. Proportion 80 years and over. 2016 and projections for 2040. Based on medium national growth. Source: Statistics Norway.

Hedmark, Sogn og Fjordane and Oppland are the counties with the highest percentages of inhabitants who are over 80 years today, 5.5, 5.5 and 5.3 per cent, respectively.

All counties in Norway have around a two times higher proportion of women than men aged 80 years or more.

The projections predict that the three counties mentioned above will also have high proportions of elderly 80 years and over in 2040; around 9 per cent of inhabitants.

Finnmark, the county with one of the lowest proportions of inhabitants over 80 years today, is expected to have a relatively large increase in proportion 80 years and over, from 3.8 per cent in 2016 to 7.4 per cent in 2040.

Oslo is predicted to have the smallest increase in proportion of inhabitants over 80 years, see figure 2.